Dave (DAVE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAVE - Dave Inc. Class A Common Stock

FINANCE SERVICES
$344.82
1.68 (0.49%) ▲
5d: +7.25%
30d: -8.39%
90d: -11.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 25d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $364.01 · last confirmed Oct 7, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: DAVE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$639.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$397.19
13.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAVE is currently trading at $344.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $332.48 to $370.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $310.88, while resistance sits at $375.99.

Market Sentiment: DAVE scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $444.21 (+28.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $332.48 - $370.56
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($444.21)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 29.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $332.48 - $370.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$34.30 (9.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $310.88
Resistance Level $375.99
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.54
Wall Street Target $444.21 (+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -21.0%
Profit Margin 34.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 14.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $350.34 (+2%)
2-Year Target $355.94 (+3%)
3-Year Target $361.64 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $344.51 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.7, Growth: 27.8%) $912.54 (+165%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 27.8%) $719.65 (+109%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: 27.8%) $611.70 (+77%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.51
Bull Case $540.14 (+57%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case $491.04 (+42%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case $233.34 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 08, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DAVE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAVE price and gamma walls.

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