Dave (DAVE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVE - Dave Inc. Class A Common Stock
$382.39
5.63 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+3.63%
30d:
+17.23%
90d:
-5.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
10d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 21, 2026 at $381.08 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DAVE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$645.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$400.97
4.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVE is currently trading at $382.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $334.95 to $369.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $385.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAVE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $445.07 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVE is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $385.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DAVE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $445.07 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$334.95 -
$369.90
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DAVE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($445.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 29.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$334.95 -
$369.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$44.58
(11.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$346.06
Resistance Level
$385.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.18
Wall Street Target
$445.07
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.0%
Profit Margin
34.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 14.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$401.13
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$420.78
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$441.40
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$382.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.1%)
$928.57
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 28.1%)
$803.34
(+110%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 28.1%)
$682.83
(+79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.51
Bull Case
$594.69
(+56%)
Analyst growth 43.5%, PE expands to 26.7
Base Case
$540.62
(+41%)
Market implied 43.5%, PE stable at 24.3
Bear Case
$256.20
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAVE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DAVE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAVE price and gamma walls.
