DE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DE - Deere & Company
$588.29
9.04 (1.56%)
▲
5d:
+11.13%
30d:
+1.71%
90d:
-4.19%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1098.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$682.27
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DE is currently trading at $588.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $544.44 to $585.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.8) is in line with its historical norms (24.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $593.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $593.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$544.44 -
$585.03
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($642.13)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -11.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$544.44 -
$585.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$515.15
Resistance Level
$593.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.75
Wall Street Target
$642.13
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 24.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$596.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$604.88
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$613.35
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$588.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 26.3%)
$1183.86
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 26.3%)
$1007.23
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 26.3%)
$856.15
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.63
Bull Case
$755.95
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.8%, PE expands to 33.0
Base Case
$687.23
(+28%)
Market implied 29.8%, PE stable at 30.0
Bear Case
$359.99
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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