MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.

CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
$12.22
-0.06 (-0.49%) ▼
5d: +1.5%
30d: -4.9%
90d: -15.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.23
24.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.82 to $13.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $11.82 - $13.29
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($10.50)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.82 - $13.29
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.28
Resistance Level $12.30
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.47
Wall Street Target $10.50 (-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -88.2%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.5 vs 14.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.85 (-3%)
2-Year Target $11.50 (-6%)
3-Year Target $11.15 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→15) $12.25 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 89.7%) $67.07 (+449%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 89.7%) $41.24 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 89.7%) $35.06 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.39
Bull Case $14.56 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case $12.06 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case $9.23 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.8
Stabilization Target: $13.42 (+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.8%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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