MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$12.22
-0.06 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
+1.5%
30d:
-4.9%
90d:
-15.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.23
24.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.82 to $13.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.82 -
$13.29
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($10.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.82 -
$13.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.28
Resistance Level
$12.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.47
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.50
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.15
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$12.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 89.7%)
$67.07
(+449%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 89.7%)
$41.24
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 89.7%)
$35.06
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.39
Bull Case
$14.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$12.06
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$9.23
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$13.42
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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