TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$67.94
-1.00 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
+4.06%
30d:
+18.57%
90d:
+14.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.35
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $67.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.95 to $64.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.05 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.05 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$57.95 -
$64.97
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.9% growth with 41.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.95 -
$64.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.55
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.68
Wall Street Target
$76.05
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.2%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.59
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$73.34
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$76.20
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$215.32
(+217%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 19.3%)
$115.45
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 19.3%)
$98.14
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case
$147.00
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$133.64
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$45.44
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
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