TEX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEX - Terex Corporation
$64.41
1.57 (2.50%)
▲
5d:
-6.73%
30d:
-5.5%
90d:
+4.11%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TEX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.11
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.64
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEX is currently trading at $64.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.36 to $70.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.44, while resistance sits at $71.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.21 (+23.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.44, while resistance sits at $71.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.21 (+23.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.36 -
$70.59
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($79.21)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 50.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.36 -
$70.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.44
Resistance Level
$71.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.95
Wall Street Target
$79.21
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
50.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.9%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$65.70
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$66.36
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$199.48
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 17.8%)
$105.35
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 17.8%)
$89.55
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$138.25
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$125.68
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$42.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kieran Hegarty
SELL
11980 shares
2026-02-17
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