ETD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETD - Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
$23.50
1.10 (4.91%)
▲
5d:
+0.99%
30d:
+8.34%
90d:
+12.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ETD trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ETD trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.98
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $23.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.73 to $23.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.73 -
$23.18
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.73 -
$23.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.98
Resistance Level
$24.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.21
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.03
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$26.65
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$28.39
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$31.01
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 1.0%)
$24.24
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$20.05
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$23.88
(+7%)
Analyst growth -5.2%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$21.71
(-3%)
Market implied -5.2%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$15.58
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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