Ethan Allen Interiors (ETD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETD - Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
$21.06
-0.10 (-0.47%)
▼
5d:
-1.08%
30d:
-14.77%
90d:
-0.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ETD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ETD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.80
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $21.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.97 to $23.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ETD scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.97 -
$23.14
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 18% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.97 -
$23.14
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.52
Resistance Level
$21.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.7%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.38
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$22.02
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.52
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 1.0%)
$21.73
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$18.47
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$21.63
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$19.67
(-7%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$14.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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