ETD Ethan Allen Interiors Inc WOOD HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE, (NO UPHOLSTERED)

Ethan Allen Interiors (ETD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$17.71
-0.65 (-3.54%) β–Ό
5d: -14.44% 30d: -11.71% 90d: -22.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$19.69 – $20.97
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.7x FAIR
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$22.00
+19.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.40 / $21.80
Trend: Downtrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ETD is down 14.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.80
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.16
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $17.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.69 to $20.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: ETD scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $19.69 - $20.97
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 50.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $19.69 - $20.97
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $17.40
Resistance Level $21.80
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.66
Wall Street Target $22.00 (+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -83.7%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 13.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.81 (-3%)
2-Year Target $17.27 (-6%)
3-Year Target $16.76 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’14) $18.39 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.0%) $29.71 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 1.0%) $18.94 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: 1.0%) $16.10 (-12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case $23.57 (+28%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case $21.43 (+17%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case $12.26 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.9
Stabilization Target: $20.16 (+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.8%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ETD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Doug Bergeron urges Ethan Allen shareholders to elect a new board majority in a video message and through a proxy vote. The current board is accused of underperformance, failed strategy, and poor oversight.
Key Retail Themes: board election shareholder activism
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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