MHK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MHK - Mohawk Industries, Inc.
$130.45
7.34 (5.97%)
▲
5d:
+12.83%
30d:
+9.3%
90d:
+30.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MHK is 9.7% above its trading range ($118.88). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MHK is 9.7% above its trading range ($118.88). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.18
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MHK is currently trading at $130.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.26 to $118.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MHK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MHK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$109.26 -
$118.88
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
MHK is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($122.71)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.26 -
$118.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.52
Resistance Level
$125.54
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.61
Wall Street Target
$122.71
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.62
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$136.49
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$143.73
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$123.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.1%)
$300.50
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 14.1%)
$182.76
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 14.1%)
$155.34
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.04
Bull Case
$182.40
(+48%)
Analyst growth 38.7%, PE expands to 18.7
Base Case
$165.82
(+35%)
Market implied 38.7%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$81.30
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MHK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Suzanne L Helen
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-19
Suzanne L Helen
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-16
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