Mohawk Industries (MHK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MHK - Mohawk Industries, Inc.
$124.92
-3.78 (-2.94%)
▼
5d:
+3.85%
30d:
+4.56%
90d:
+8.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MHK is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MHK is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.50
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MHK is currently trading at $124.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.67 to $126.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $114.37, while resistance sits at $128.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $114.37, while resistance sits at $128.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$118.67 -
$126.77
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MHK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($136.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.67 -
$126.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.37
Resistance Level
$128.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$136.47
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.6%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.75
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$141.08
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$147.71
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$129.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$207.79
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 1.7%)
$135.21
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 1.7%)
$114.93
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.49
Bull Case
$172.65
(+34%)
Analyst growth 33.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$156.96
(+22%)
Market implied 33.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$80.27
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MHK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MHK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MHK price and gamma walls.
