MHK Mohawk Industries, Inc. CARPETS & RUGS

Mohawk Industries (MHK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$146.64
-5.94 (-3.89%) ▼
5d: -2.81% 30d: +22.23% 90d: +4.67%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$116.82 – $141.56
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.1x STRETCHED
vs 11.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$149.13
+1.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$129.67 / $158.81
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MHK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.36
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MHK is currently trading at $146.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.82 to $141.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $129.67, while resistance sits at $158.81. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: MHK scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $116.82 - $141.56
Company Quality Score 33/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 18.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $116.82 - $141.56
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $129.67
Resistance Level $158.81
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($149.13)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.06
Wall Street Target $149.13 (+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 55.4%
Profit Margin 4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium
PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 11.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $160.57 (+10%)
2-Year Target $175.83 (+20%)
3-Year Target $192.53 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→12) PE COMPRESSION $147.04 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.1%) $193.23 (+32%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: -3.1%) $146.50 (0%)
Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: -3.1%) $111.89 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.56
Bull Case $190.94 (+30%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case $173.59 (+18%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case $103.75 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MHK)

Neutral 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Investor $UserName is bullish on $MHK ahead of earnings report, citing a strong earnings record. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes: Earnings Bullish
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive MHK Research Pages
MHK Technical Chart MHK Price Prediction MHK Intrinsic Value DCF MHK Earnings Date Why is MHK Moving Today? MHK Investment Advisor MHK Fair Price Analyzer MHK Options Chain MHK Options Advisor MHK Options Analysis MHK Competitors
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