MHK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MHK - Mohawk Industries, Inc.
$108.66
-1.29 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
-2.49%
30d:
+6.19%
90d:
+6.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: MHK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 1th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: MHK shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 1th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.9% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.29
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MHK is currently trading at $108.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $100.46 to $109.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MHK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MHK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $108.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MHK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$100.46 -
$109.61
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($119.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$100.46 -
$109.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.29
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$101.27
Resistance Level
$108.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.98
Wall Street Target
$119.21
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.2%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$110.62
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$111.62
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$108.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.3%)
$330.27
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 15.3%)
$166.50
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 15.3%)
$141.52
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.68
Bull Case
$179.18
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.1%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$162.89
(+50%)
Market implied 48.1%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$74.77
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MHK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Suzanne L Helen
SELL
3000 shares
2026-03-19
Suzanne L Helen
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-16
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Advanced MHK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MHK price and gamma walls.
