SGI
Somnigroup International Inc.
HOUSEHOLD FURNITURE
Somnigroup International (SGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$62.49
-0.29 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
-10.49%
30d:
-0.6%
90d:
-5.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$61.93 – $65.78
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.4x
CHEAP
vs 20.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$87.44
+39.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$61.34 / $70.62
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$132.79
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.45
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $62.49, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.93 to $65.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (20.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.44 (+39.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.44 (+39.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$61.93 -
$65.78
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$61.93 -
$65.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$61.34
Resistance Level
$70.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($87.44)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.5%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.35
Wall Street Target
$87.44
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.8%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 20.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$56.28
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$53.41
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$62.49
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.7%)
$128.85
(+106%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 21.7%)
$112.57
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 21.7%)
$95.68
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$102.35
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$93.05
(+49%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$42.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 20.3
Stabilization Target:
$73.11
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SGI)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Somnigroup International reported a 10.6% increase in EPS for Q2 2026, with record cash flows from operations of $236 million, despite a 3.0% decrease in net sales.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong second-quarter financial performance
Expansion of gross margins
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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