Somnigroup International (SGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$61.97
-0.78 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
-3.1%
30d:
-8.63%
90d:
-20.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.91
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $61.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.39 to $67.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.08, while resistance sits at $65.00.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.44 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $60.08, while resistance sits at $65.00.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 88/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.44 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$62.39 -
$67.20
Company Quality Score
75/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (88/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($93.44)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$62.39 -
$67.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.08
Resistance Level
$65.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.76
Wall Street Target
$93.44
(+50.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 20.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.45
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$51.43
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$46.85
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→21)
$61.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 26.3%)
$161.60
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 26.3%)
$124.83
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 26.3%)
$106.10
(+71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$106.45
(+72%)
Analyst growth 54.2%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$96.77
(+56%)
Market implied 54.2%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$42.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.8 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$81.80
(+32.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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