SGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$71.76
-1.79 (-2.43%)
▼
5d:
-8.24%
30d:
+4.84%
90d:
-8.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.60
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.34
28.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $71.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.83 to $77.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.4) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.25 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.25 (+35.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$70.83 -
$77.36
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.5% below Wall St target ($97.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.83 -
$77.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.30
Resistance Level
$73.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.42
Wall Street Target
$97.25
(+35.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.4%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$67.88
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$64.22
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$60.75
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→22)
$71.90
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.9%)
$161.37
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.4, Growth: 23.9%)
$136.48
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 23.9%)
$116.01
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$126.07
(+76%)
Analyst growth 55.8%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$114.61
(+60%)
Market implied 55.8%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$50.01
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.4 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$84.92
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 10:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-31
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-16
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-03-13
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