Somnigroup International (SGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SGI - Somnigroup International Inc.
$65.99
3.12 (4.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.87%
30d:
+4.96%
90d:
-7.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$149.92
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.09
29.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SGI is currently trading at $65.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.92 to $64.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.33 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SGI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: SGI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.33 (+39.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.92 -
$64.78
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($92.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.92 -
$64.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.86
Resistance Level
$66.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.10
Wall Street Target
$92.33
(+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 20.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.10
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$58.43
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$54.99
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$65.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.7%)
$145.03
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 23.7%)
$124.87
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 23.7%)
$106.14
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$106.34
(+61%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 27.6
Base Case
$96.67
(+47%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case
$42.75
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 20.5
Stabilization Target:
$79.12
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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