EVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVH - Evolent Health, Inc Class A Common Stock
$4.48
-0.01 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
-6.67%
30d:
+16.06%
90d:
+73.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: EVH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.56
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVH is currently trading at $4.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.86 to $4.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.25, while resistance sits at $4.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.88 (+31.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.25, while resistance sits at $4.91.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.88 (+31.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.57
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($5.88)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.0% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.25
Resistance Level
$4.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.64
Wall Street Target
$5.88
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Profit Margin
-26.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.75
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$5.03
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$5.34
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.49
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 95.9%)
$28.29
(+532%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 95.9%)
$15.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 95.9%)
$12.73
(+184%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVH price and gamma walls.
