EVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVH - Evolent Health, Inc Class A Common Stock
$3.09
-0.09 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
-26.78%
30d:
-46.17%
90d:
-17.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVH is down 26.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVH is down 26.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.53
31.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVH is currently trading at $3.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.22 to $6.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.95, while resistance sits at $6.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.83 (+88.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.95, while resistance sits at $6.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.83 (+88.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$4.22 -
$6.03
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 88.6% below Wall St target ($5.83)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -26.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.22 -
$6.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.95
Resistance Level
$6.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.58
Wall Street Target
$5.83
(+88.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Profit Margin
-26.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.90
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$2.71
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$2.54
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$3.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 84.1%)
$25.19
(+715%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 84.1%)
$10.43
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 84.1%)
$8.86
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$3.75
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVH price and gamma walls.
