Privia Health Group (PRVA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PRVA - Privia Health Group, Inc. Common Stock
$22.47
-0.46 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
+3.69%
30d:
+15.47%
90d:
-10.01%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PRVA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.55
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.94
6.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PRVA is currently trading at $22.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.58 to $21.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRVA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PRVA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.47 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PRVA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PRVA scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.47 (+40.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.58 -
$21.12
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding PRVA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.1% below Wall St target ($31.47)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.58 -
$21.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.09
Resistance Level
$23.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.14
Wall Street Target
$31.47
(+40.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
250.0%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.60
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.74
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$22.88
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.1, Growth: 19.8%)
$38.68
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$36.34
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.8%)
$30.89
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.27 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.30
Bull Case
$27.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$22.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$17.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PRVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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