FCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FCCO - First Community Corp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$33.75
-0.46 (-1.34%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.32%
30d: +4.23%
90d: +11.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FCCO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.44
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.11
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FCCO is currently trading at $33.75, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.45 to $34.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FCCO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.72, while resistance sits at $35.73.

Market Sentiment: FCCO scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $32.45 - $34.24
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $32.45 - $34.24
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.72
Resistance Level $35.74
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.36
Wall Street Target $37.33 (+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 19.4%
Profit Margin 26.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 9.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.86 (+2%)
2-Year Target $35.52 (+4%)
3-Year Target $36.20 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $34.25 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.1%) $77.56 (+127%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 5.1%) $39.70 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: 5.1%) $33.75 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case $46.80 (+37%)
Analyst growth 24.2%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case $42.55 (+24%)
Market implied 24.2%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case $23.30 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 10, 2026 10:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:18 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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