FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$104.03
11.23 (12.10%)
▲
5d:
+15.95%
30d:
+41.97%
90d:
+42.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FROG is 11.2% above its trading range ($93.55). Market expects 13.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FROG is 11.2% above its trading range ($93.55). Market expects 13.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.74
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $104.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.27 to $93.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 90.9) compared to its historical average (61.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $104.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: FROG scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.27 -
$93.55
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FROG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($111.71)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 13.8% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.27 -
$93.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.04
Resistance Level
$104.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
90.87
Wall Street Target
$111.71
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
-7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.8% premium
PE vs Historical
90.9 vs 61.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$118.39
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$134.72
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$153.32
(+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 91→62)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 90.9, Growth: 16.8%)
$165.73
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.8%)
$36.60
(-65%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.8%)
$31.11
(-70%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-07
Frederic Simon
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-02
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