FSLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSLR - First Solar, Inc.
$318.25
7.24 (2.33%)
▲
5d:
+16.29%
30d:
+50.55%
90d:
+61.33%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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4 traders called FSLR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FSLR is 14.0% above its trading range ($279.23). Market expects 11.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FSLR is 14.0% above its trading range ($279.23). Market expects 11.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$446.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$277.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSLR is currently trading at $318.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.31 to $279.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $320.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSLR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $243.59. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $320.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FSLR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $243.59. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$204.31 -
$279.23
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.9%
Protect Your Profits
FSLR is technically overbought (RSI 82). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 23.5% above Wall St target ($243.59)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.7% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$204.31 -
$279.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.23
Resistance Level
$320.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.75
Wall Street Target
$243.59
(-23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.1%
Profit Margin
30.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 9.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$355.49
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$397.08
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$443.54
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$319.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 33.1%)
$1196.99
(+276%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 33.1%)
$751.17
(+136%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 33.1%)
$540.86
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.47
Bull Case
$450.62
(+49%)
Analyst growth 49.7%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$409.65
(+35%)
Market implied 49.7%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$186.10
(-39%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSLR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kuntal Kumar Verma
SELL
573 shares
2026-04-15
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Alexander R Bradley
SELL
14106 shares
2026-03-17
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