SHLS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHLS - Shoals Technologies Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.37
0.63 (7.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.16%
30d:
-5.83%
90d:
+14.83%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SHLS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.03
Based on 14.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.57
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHLS is currently trading at $9.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.03 to $10.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.83, while resistance sits at $10.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.05 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHLS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.83, while resistance sits at $10.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: SHLS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.05 (+18.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.51
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.03 -
$10.51
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.84
Resistance Level
$10.60
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.22
Wall Street Target
$11.05
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
74.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.0%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.52
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$9.67
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$9.83
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.9%)
$20.29
(+117%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 23.9%)
$17.83
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 23.9%)
$15.16
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$19.23
(+105%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.1
Base Case
$17.48
(+87%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.7
Bear Case
$5.94
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHLS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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