SPWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPWR - Complete Solaria, Inc. Common Stock
$0.48
0.00 (0.35%)
▲
5d:
-20.29%
30d:
-22.61%
90d:
-50.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SPWR is down 20.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SPWR is down 20.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.12
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.70
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPWR is currently trading at $0.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.56 to $0.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.4) compared to its historical average (3.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.47, while resistance sits at $0.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+872.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPWR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.47, while resistance sits at $0.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.70 (+872.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$0.56 -
$0.68
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 872.5% below Wall St target ($4.70)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -20.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.56 -
$0.68
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.47
Resistance Level
$0.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.36
Wall Street Target
$4.70
(+872.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.1%
Profit Margin
-15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.4 vs 3.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$0.43
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$0.39
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$0.35
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$0.58
(+21%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.4 to 3.9
Stabilization Target:
$0.80
(+65.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 28, 2026 1:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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