GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$11.13
0.33 (3.06%)
▲
5d:
+12.31%
30d:
+16.18%
90d:
+45.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.26
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $11.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.23 to $10.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.20. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.23 -
$10.26
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.3% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.23 -
$10.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.29
Resistance Level
$11.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.84
Wall Street Target
$10.08
(-9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 12.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$13.30
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$14.53
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 21.0%)
$23.68
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 21.0%)
$19.70
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 21.0%)
$15.10
(+36%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 4:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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