GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$12.55
0.24 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
+3.08%
30d:
+29.46%
90d:
+46.55%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.76
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $12.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.68 to $11.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.73. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.73. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.68 -
$11.96
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.8% above Wall St target ($10.73)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.68 -
$11.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.07
Resistance Level
$12.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.28
Wall Street Target
$10.73
(-12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 13.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.70
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$15.26
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$17.00
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 23.5%)
$25.62
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 23.5%)
$23.15
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 23.5%)
$16.72
(+36%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 04, 2026 1:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
10
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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