ACI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACI - Albertsons Companies, Inc.
$12.42
0.02 (0.16%)
â˛
5d:
+3.41%
30d:
-17.31%
90d:
-24.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $12.01 · last confirmed Aug 14, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.92
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.99
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACI is currently trading at $12.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.63 to $14.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACI scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.19 (+14.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACI scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.19 (+14.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.63 -
$14.45
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.19)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.63 -
$14.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.42
Resistance Level
$12.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.42
Wall Street Target
$14.19
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.5%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.38
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$10.42
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$9.55
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â7)
$12.34
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$56.63
(+356%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$15.16
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$12.89
(+4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 6.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.92
Bull Case
$15.00
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$12.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$9.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.05
(+29.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 15, 2026 4:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
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BUY
2026-03-12
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BUY
2026-03-10
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2026-03-04
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Advanced ACI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACI price and gamma walls.
