GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$8.61
-0.05 (-0.58%)
▼
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-11.15%
90d:
-12.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.51
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $8.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.68 to $9.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.38
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with -18.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.68 -
$9.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.48
Resistance Level
$9.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.90
Wall Street Target
$8.75
(+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.66
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$8.71
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$8.77
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.66
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -3.9%)
$20.07
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -3.9%)
$7.65
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -3.9%)
$6.50
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$16.48
(+91%)
Analyst growth 73.0%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$14.98
(+74%)
Market implied 73.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$5.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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