Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$9.62
0.04 (0.42%)
â˛
5d:
-2.83%
30d:
+0.42%
90d:
+5.95%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSBD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GSBD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.50
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.66
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $9.62, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.37 to $10.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GSBD scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.37 -
$10.14
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($8.94)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -8.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.37 -
$10.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.38
Resistance Level
$10.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.37
Wall Street Target
$8.94
(-7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.2%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$10.01
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$10.21
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -11.2%)
$16.91
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -11.2%)
$7.01
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: -11.2%)
$5.96
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$21.08
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$19.16
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$6.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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