GSBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBD - Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
$8.81
-0.01 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-4.03%
30d:
-3.19%
90d:
-1.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GSBD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GSBD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.29
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBD is currently trading at $8.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.93 to $9.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $8.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $8.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.93 -
$9.46
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -18.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.93 -
$9.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.76
Resistance Level
$9.25
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$8.75
(-0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.7%
Profit Margin
21.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$9.13
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$9.29
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -4.1%)
$20.80
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: -4.1%)
$7.78
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: -4.1%)
$6.61
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$16.40
(+86%)
Analyst growth 69.1%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$14.91
(+69%)
Market implied 69.1%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$6.00
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Carlos E Evans
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-02
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