Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$128.98
1.07 (0.84%)
▲
5d:
-4.1%
30d:
-6.95%
90d:
-3.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 1, 2026 at $131.69 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.93
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.70
15.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $128.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.45 to $137.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.47 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $127.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $153.47 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$129.45 -
$137.05
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($153.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.45 -
$137.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.73
Resistance Level
$137.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$153.47
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.7%
Profit Margin
5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$126.16
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$124.77
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$128.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.5%)
$397.84
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 22.5%)
$236.97
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 22.5%)
$201.43
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case
$281.40
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$255.82
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$86.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$133.12
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
