What is the fair value of APO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for APO to be between $112.94 and $123.89. The current price is $114.83.

What is the analyst price target for APO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for APO is $148.70. This implies a potential upside of 29.5% from current levels.

Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE

$114.83

3.14 (2.81%) ▲

5d: +2.65%

30d: -7.66%

90d: -6.35%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026 10d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 9, 2026 at $118.50 · last confirmed Oct 20, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.1% annual earnings decline despite 64% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

APO is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; APO has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 23.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$242.70

Based on 13.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$150.70

23.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $114.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.94 to $123.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.91, while resistance sits at $120.18.

Market Sentiment: APO scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $148.70 (+29.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $112.94 - $123.89

Company Quality Score 69/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 29.5% below Wall St target ($148.70)
BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $112.94 - $123.89

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $109.91

Resistance Level $120.18

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.78

Wall Street Target $148.70 (+29.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 63.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 63.7%

Profit Margin 5.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 10.8 vs 12.2 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $110.12 (-4%)

2-Year Target $105.61 (-8%)

3-Year Target $101.28 (-12%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $114.65 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.0%) $393.39 (+243%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 23.0%) $213.48 (+86%)

Bear: (PE: 9.2, Growth: 23.0%) $181.46 (+58%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 40.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.79

Bull Case $245.72 (+114%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.0

Base Case $223.38 (+95%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.0

Bear Case $75.95 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.2

Stabilization Target: $129.99 (+13.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +13.2%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:25 AM

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