Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$122.95
+0.21 (+0.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
+5.74%
90d:
-14.37%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect APO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$112.39 – $119.61
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.6x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.45
+19.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$112.01 / $125.43
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $117.24 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$245.52
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.45
19.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $122.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.39 to $119.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.45 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APO scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.45 (+19.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$112.39 -
$119.61
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$112.39 -
$119.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$112.01
Resistance Level
$125.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding APO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($146.45)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.60
Wall Street Target
$146.45
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-52.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.7%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.98
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$119.05
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$117.14
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$123.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.8%)
$399.37
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 23.8%)
$233.29
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 23.8%)
$198.30
(+61%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$129.30
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APO)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Goldman Sachs and Apollo Global are reportedly selling portions of a 40 billion GPU deal with SpaceX. Cathie Wood buys SPCX stock amid AI retreat.
Key Retail Themes:
SpaceX chip financing deal
ARK Invest buying SPCX
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 12:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced APO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
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