J Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

J - Jacobs Solutions Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$126.55
0.72 (0.57%) ▲
5d: -1.89%
30d: +3.93%
90d: +2.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 21d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: J shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$205.37
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.52
0.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: J is currently trading at $126.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.45 to $127.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, J is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $125.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: J has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $156.93 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $121.45 - $127.17
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($156.93)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $121.45 - $127.17
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $115.00
Resistance Level $125.85
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.28
Wall Street Target $156.93 (+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -63.4%
Profit Margin 2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.3 vs 16.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $122.81 (-2%)
2-Year Target $119.86 (-5%)
3-Year Target $116.99 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→16) $125.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.6%) $262.81 (+109%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 13.6%) $184.39 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 13.0, Growth: 13.6%) $156.73 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case $276.85 (+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.2
Base Case $251.68 (+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.4
Bear Case $85.57 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.4
Stabilization Target: $135.04 (+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.3%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Shannon Miller SELL 1440 shares 2026-03-06
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-24

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