DY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.

Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Comm & Power Line Construction
$467.61
-0.40 (-0.09%) ▼
5d: -0.78%
30d: +12.83%
90d: +33.7%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DY shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $467.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $428.34 to $495.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.4) compared to its historical average (30.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $431.87, while resistance sits at $566.47.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $637.27 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $428.34 - $495.60
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($637.27)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $428.34 - $495.60
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$31.36 (6.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $431.87
Resistance Level $566.47
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.38
Wall Street Target $637.27 (+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.5%
Profit Margin 5.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 34.4 vs 30.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $487.67 (+4%)
2-Year Target $508.15 (+9%)
3-Year Target $529.49 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→30) PE COMPRESSION $468.15 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.4, Growth: 22.3%) $856.76 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.3%) $542.72 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.3%) $461.31 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.46
Bull Case $653.66 (+40%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 48.0
Base Case $594.24 (+27%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 43.7
Bear Case $310.52 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eitan Gertel SELL 3645 shares 2026-01-09

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