Dycom Industries (DY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.
$307.47
11.54 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
-25.04%
90d:
-33.82%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $307.47, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $304.62 to $411.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $309.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DY scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $520.36 (+69.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $309.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: DY scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $520.36 (+69.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$304.62 -
$411.92
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.2% below Wall St target ($520.36)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$304.62 -
$411.92
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$26.51
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$284.50
Resistance Level
$309.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.59
Wall Street Target
$520.36
(+69.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 30.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.49
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$254.06
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$230.94
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→30)
$307.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 22.3%)
$562.87
(+83%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.3%)
$502.60
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 22.3%)
$427.21
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.16
Bull Case
$397.03
(+29%)
Analyst growth 22.0%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$360.94
(+17%)
Market implied 22.0%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$201.23
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.6 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$409.71
(+33.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 12:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DY price and gamma walls.
