Dycom Industries (DY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DY - Dycom Industries, Inc.
$227.31
-10.14 (-4.27%)
▼
5d:
-11.82%
30d:
-19.09%
90d:
-47.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DY is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: DY is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$625.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$388.69
41.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DY is currently trading at $227.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $259.44 to $285.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $520.91 (+119.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $235.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: DY scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $520.91 (+119.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$259.44 -
$285.42
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 119.4% below Wall St target ($520.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$259.44 -
$285.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$235.66
Resistance Level
$282.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.44
Wall Street Target
$520.91
(+119.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 28.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$192.33
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$173.10
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→29)
$285.78
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.3%)
$494.87
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 22.3%)
$434.69
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 22.3%)
$369.48
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.95
Bull Case
$344.58
(+45%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$313.25
(+32%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$171.36
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 28.8
Stabilization Target:
$392.01
(+65.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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