Aecom (ACM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$59.66
0.06 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
-10.23%
90d:
-14.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$158.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.21
39.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $59.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.90 to $66.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACM scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.92 (+45.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACM scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.92 (+45.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$60.90 -
$66.40
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.7% below Wall St target ($86.92)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$60.90 -
$66.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.08
Resistance Level
$63.99
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.33
Wall Street Target
$86.92
(+45.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$48.65
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$43.93
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$59.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 59.8%)
$440.32
(+638%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 59.8%)
$201.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 59.8%)
$171.15
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.87
Bull Case
$131.12
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$119.20
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$40.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$81.22
(+36.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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