ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$72.41
0.97 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.05%
30d:
-13.83%
90d:
-24.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.1% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.1% annual earnings decline despite 28% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.27
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.72
17.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $72.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.41 to $81.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.88 (+47.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $106.88 (+47.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$70.41 -
$81.80
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.6% below Wall St target ($106.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.41 -
$81.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.48
Resistance Level
$73.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.78
Wall Street Target
$106.88
(+47.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.82
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$59.83
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$54.39
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$72.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.1%)
$207.47
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.1%)
$102.04
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$86.73
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$110.58
(+56%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case
$100.53
(+42%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$48.73
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$96.09
(+32.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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