ACM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACM - Aecom
$64.79
-0.39 (-0.60%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.66%
30d:
-4.23%
90d:
-7.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.70
36.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACM is currently trading at $64.79, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.73 to $73.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.35, while resistance sits at $76.85.
Market Sentiment: ACM scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.92 (+34.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $60.35, while resistance sits at $76.85.
Market Sentiment: ACM scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.92 (+34.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$64.73 -
$73.49
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($86.92)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.73 -
$73.49
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.35
Resistance Level
$76.85
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.09
Wall Street Target
$86.92
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.5%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.35
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$54.36
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$49.80
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â13)
$64.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 61.4%)
$434.89
(+571%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 61.4%)
$218.67
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 61.4%)
$185.87
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.85
Bull Case
$143.40
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$130.36
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$44.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$84.11
(+29.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL
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