MTZ
MasTec, Inc.
WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION
MasTec (MTZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$185.10
-4.08 (-2.16%)
âŧ
5d:
+16.46%
30d:
-4.81%
90d:
-37.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$173.08 â $208.19
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.2x
CHEAP
vs 26.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$315.76
+70.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$147.49 / $203.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MTZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -17.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$594.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$369.32
49.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $185.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.08 to $208.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (26.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $147.49, while resistance sits at $203.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $315.76 (+70.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $147.49, while resistance sits at $203.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $315.76 (+70.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$173.08 -
$208.19
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$173.08 -
$208.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$147.49
Resistance Level
$203.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 70.6% below Wall St target ($315.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.15
Wall Street Target
$315.76
(+70.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 26.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$149.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$134.94
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15â27)
$239.58
(+29%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.0%)
$583.94
(+216%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 34.0%)
$445.47
(+141%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 34.0%)
$378.65
(+105%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.41
Bull Case
$396.63
(+114%)
Analyst growth 90.6%, PE expands to 32.5
Base Case
$360.58
(+95%)
Market implied 90.6%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$128.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 26.9
Stabilization Target:
$328.65
(+77.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+77.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTZ)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $MTZ persists despite no price movement after earnings beat.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings
Sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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