MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$390.44
-15.88 (-3.91%)
▼
5d:
+5.0%
30d:
+0.43%
90d:
+25.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$573.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$355.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $390.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $359.92 to $393.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.2) is in line with its historical norms (30.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $394.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $473.05 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $394.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $473.05 (+21.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$359.92 -
$393.05
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($473.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$359.92 -
$393.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$339.00
Resistance Level
$394.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.17
Wall Street Target
$473.05
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
508.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 30.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$399.81
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$409.41
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$419.23
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$390.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 33.2%)
$923.27
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.2%)
$606.22
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 33.2%)
$515.29
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.73 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.36
Bull Case
$471.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case
$390.44
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 46.7
Bear Case
$298.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 4:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-04
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