MasTec (MTZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$171.05
-0.50 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
-10.45%
30d:
-19.3%
90d:
-49.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When MTZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTZ is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTZ is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$602.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$374.33
54.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $171.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $192.12 to $223.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 20.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $164.31, while resistance sits at $211.97.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.90 (+113.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $164.31, while resistance sits at $211.97.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.90 (+113.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$192.12 -
$223.54
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 113.3% below Wall St target ($364.90)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$192.12 -
$223.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.31
Resistance Level
$211.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.81
Wall Street Target
$364.90
(+113.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-20.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 27.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-20.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$153.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$138.55
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$124.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→28)
$250.06
(+46%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.4%)
$584.02
(+241%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 33.4%)
$406.20
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 33.4%)
$345.27
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.94
Bull Case
$377.41
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$343.10
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$116.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$343.01
(+100.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+100.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$766 | 42 HOLD |
|
LGN
Legence Corp. Class A Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$100 | 40 SELL |
|
STN
Stantec Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$94 | 56 HOLD |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$84 | 59 HOLD |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc. |
BUY
16 analysts |
$162 | 64 BUY |
