MasTec (MTZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$215.93
2.27 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+1.45%
30d:
-8.24%
90d:
-43.27%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$610.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$379.00
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $215.93, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.26 to $242.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.38, while resistance sits at $226.74.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $413.40 (+91.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.38, while resistance sits at $226.74.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $413.40 (+91.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$214.26 -
$242.96
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 91.5% below Wall St target ($413.40)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$214.26 -
$242.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.38
Resistance Level
$226.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.22
Wall Street Target
$413.40
(+91.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 28.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.34
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$174.90
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$157.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→29)
$260.49
(+21%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 34.7%)
$624.41
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 34.7%)
$527.15
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 34.7%)
$448.08
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.27
Bull Case
$469.97
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$427.24
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$145.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 28.5
Stabilization Target:
$357.32
(+65.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+65.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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