MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$261.22
-1.88 (-0.71%)
▼
5d:
-22.44%
30d:
-30.05%
90d:
-37.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$640.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$397.92
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $261.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $314.04 to $394.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.8) compared to its historical average (30.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $252.45, while resistance sits at $366.30.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $487.76 (+86.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $252.45, while resistance sits at $366.30.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $487.76 (+86.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$314.04 -
$394.84
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 86.7% below Wall St target ($487.76)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-22.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$314.04 -
$394.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$252.45
Resistance Level
$366.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.84
Wall Street Target
$487.76
(+86.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 30.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.10
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$211.59
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$190.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→31)
$296.52
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 41.6%)
$774.14
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 41.6%)
$741.05
(+184%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 41.6%)
$629.90
(+141%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.29
Bull Case
$578.82
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.0
Base Case
$526.20
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.8
Bear Case
$178.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.8 to 30.9
Stabilization Target:
$406.76
(+55.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
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