MasTec (MTZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$240.41
8.21 (3.54%)
â˛
5d:
+3.5%
30d:
-14.48%
90d:
-32.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MTZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MTZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$611.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$379.42
36.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $240.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $243.03 to $280.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 51.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $230.10, while resistance sits at $252.35. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.95 (+73.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $230.10, while resistance sits at $252.35. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $416.95 (+73.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$243.03 -
$280.23
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 73.4% below Wall St target ($416.95)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$243.03 -
$280.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$230.10
Resistance Level
$252.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.15
Wall Street Target
$416.95
(+73.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
51.4%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.2 vs 29.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$194.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$175.26
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â30)
$269.93
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.8%)
$619.99
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 34.8%)
$588.76
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.3, Growth: 34.8%)
$500.44
(+108%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.06
Bull Case
$510.84
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.2
Base Case
$464.40
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case
$157.90
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 29.5
Stabilization Target:
$370.27
(+54.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
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