MXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$83.23
-5.85 (-6.56%)
▼
5d:
-1.37%
30d:
-16.06%
90d:
+371.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MXL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 20.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $83.23, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.01 to $96.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.5) compared to its historical average (27.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 20.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.19, while resistance sits at $98.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.91. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.19, while resistance sits at $98.99. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.91. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$81.01 -
$96.68
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 23.8% above Wall St target ($67.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 20.1% growth with 43.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.01 -
$96.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.19
Resistance Level
$98.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.50
Wall Street Target
$67.91
(-23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-26.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+20.1% premium
PE vs Historical
47.5 vs 27.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+20.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.99
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$128.49
(+44%)
3-Year Target
$154.32
(+73%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 48→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.5, Growth: 40.2%)
$245.57
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.2%)
$112.60
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.2%)
$95.71
(+7%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 3:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
4929 shares
2026-03-05
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced MXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.
