MaxLinear (MXL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$65.28
-10.51 (-13.87%)
▼
5d:
-16.5%
30d:
-22.58%
90d:
-8.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.82
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $65.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.94 to $97.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (30.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.27 (+45.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.27 (+45.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$72.94 -
$97.74
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MXL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.9% below Wall St target ($95.27)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-16.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.94 -
$97.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.49
Resistance Level
$101.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.12
Wall Street Target
$95.27
(+45.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-18.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 30.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.71
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$56.46
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$52.51
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→30)
$65.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 54.7%)
$220.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 54.7%)
$181.42
(+178%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 54.7%)
$154.21
(+136%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 30.0
Stabilization Target:
$81.20
(+24.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.
