What is the fair value of MXL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MXL to be between $61.60 and $74.99. The current price is $74.57.

What is the analyst price target for MXL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MXL is $94.55. This implies a potential upside of 26.8% from current levels.

MaxLinear (MXL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$74.57

5.23 (7.54%) ▲

5d: +25.43%

30d: +0.32%

90d: -8.04%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $66.64 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MXL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$125.76

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$78.08

4.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $74.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.60 to $74.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (29.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.55 (+26.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $61.60 - $74.99

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 70.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.5%)
BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($94.55)
WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $61.60 - $74.99

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $55.93

Resistance Level $76.24

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.87

Wall Street Target $94.55 (+26.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 55.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -71.4%

Profit Margin -18.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 28.9 vs 29.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $73.97 (-1%)

2-Year Target $73.38 (-2%)

3-Year Target $72.79 (-2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→30) $74.64 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 28.9, Growth: 47.6%) $239.81 (+222%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 47.6%) $167.55 (+125%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 47.6%) $142.42 (+91%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.9 to 29.6

Stabilization Target: $76.46 (+2.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +2.5%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 3:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced MXL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.

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