MaxLinear (MXL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$105.93
13.81 (14.99%)
▲
5d:
+12.88%
30d:
+76.26%
90d:
+10.71%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MXL is 20.7% above its trading range ($87.79). Market expects 10.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MXL is 20.7% above its trading range ($87.79). Market expects 10.9% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $105.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.49 to $87.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.5) compared to its historical average (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MXL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $94.55. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $106.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: MXL scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $94.55. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.49 -
$87.79
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Protect Your Profits
MXL is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+20.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+15.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 10.7% above Wall St target ($94.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.9% growth with 55.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.49 -
$87.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$106.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.54
Wall Street Target
$94.55
(-10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-18.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.9% premium
PE vs Historical
40.5 vs 29.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.48
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$130.28
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$144.48
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.5, Growth: 49.3%)
$352.67
(+233%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 49.3%)
$177.48
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 49.3%)
$150.85
(+42%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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