MXL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MXL - MaxLinear, Inc. Common Stock
$67.11
0.29 (0.43%)
▲
5d:
+3.47%
30d:
-27.93%
90d:
-13.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MXL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.08
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MXL is currently trading at $67.11, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.70 to $101.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.0) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.23, while resistance sits at $94.55.
Market Sentiment: MXL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.55 (+40.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MXL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $56.23, while resistance sits at $94.55.
Market Sentiment: MXL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.55 (+40.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.70 -
$101.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MXL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.9% below Wall St target ($94.55)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.70 -
$101.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.23
Resistance Level
$94.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.98
Wall Street Target
$94.55
(+40.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.4%
Profit Margin
-18.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 30.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.89
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$60.82
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$57.90
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$67.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 47.6%)
$215.82
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 47.6%)
$172.21
(+157%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 47.6%)
$146.38
(+118%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$77.75
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 6:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MXL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-06
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
4929 shares
2026-03-05
Steven G Litchfield
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced MXL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MXL price and gamma walls.
