NHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NHI - National Health Investors
$73.03
2.07 (2.92%)
▲
5d:
+3.3%
30d:
-4.6%
90d:
-11.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When NHI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NHI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.60
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.29
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NHI is currently trading at $73.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.27 to $75.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NHI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.94, while resistance sits at $76.45.
Market Sentiment: NHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.50 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NHI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $67.94, while resistance sits at $76.45.
Market Sentiment: NHI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.50 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$70.27 -
$75.42
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.27 -
$75.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.94
Resistance Level
$76.45
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.54
Wall Street Target
$83.50
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.0%
Profit Margin
36.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 22.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.62
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$68.29
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$66.04
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$72.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.0%)
$70.61
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: -3.0%)
$66.61
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: -3.0%)
$56.61
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case
$89.50
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$81.37
(+11%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$48.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$80.69
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-15
Top Rated REIT - Healthcare Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Healthcare Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VTR
Ventas Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$97 | 60 HOLD |
|
WELL
Welltower Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$235 | 60 HOLD |
|
DOC
Healthpeak Properties Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$21 | 57 HOLD |
|
STRW
Strawberry Fields REIT L… |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$15 | 60 HOLD |
|
AHR
American Healthcare REIT… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$58 | 59 HOLD |
