OMDA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OMDA - Omada Health, Inc. Common Stock
$24.27
0.31 (1.29%)
â˛
5d:
+2.36%
30d:
+23.76%
90d:
+36.2%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 27, 2026 at $24.52 · last confirmed Aug 27, 2026
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OMDA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OMDA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.6% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OMDA is currently trading at $24.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.52 to $24.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 43.6) compared to its historical average (59.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMDA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.41, while resistance sits at $25.45.
Market Sentiment: OMDA scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.25 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OMDA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.41, while resistance sits at $25.45.
Market Sentiment: OMDA scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.25 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.52 -
$24.36
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding OMDA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.52 -
$24.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.42
Resistance Level
$25.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.64
Wall Street Target
$28.25
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
43.1%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
43.6 vs 59.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.83
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$17.93
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44â59)
$24.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.6, Growth: 27.5%)
$50.36
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 27.5%)
$23.16
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 27.5%)
$19.68
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$21.88
(-10%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 39.3
Base Case
$19.89
(-18%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 35.8
Bear Case
$16.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 43.6 to 59.0
Stabilization Target:
$32.81
(+35.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OMDA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wei-Li Shao
SELL
2829 shares
2026-04-08
Steven L Cook
SELL
1884 shares
2026-03-13
Sean P Duffy
SELL
4063 shares
2026-03-09
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Advanced OMDA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's OMDA price and gamma walls.