OWL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OWL - Blue Owl Capital Inc.
$10.19
0.50 (5.16%)
▲
5d:
+2.62%
30d:
-5.21%
90d:
-2.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.1/10
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2 traders called OWL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OWL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: OWL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.28
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OWL is currently trading at $10.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.43 to $10.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 636.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.22, while resistance sits at $10.74. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: OWL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.93 (+26.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OWL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.22, while resistance sits at $10.74. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: OWL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.93 (+26.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$9.43 -
$10.39
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($12.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.43 -
$10.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.22
Resistance Level
$10.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.37
Wall Street Target
$12.93
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
636.6%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.49
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.16
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$10.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$29.60
(+190%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 11.2%)
$14.00
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$11.90
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.95
Bull Case
$12.30
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$10.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$7.80
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.31
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 05, 2026 8:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OWL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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