TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$17.89
0.11 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-2.29%
30d:
-4.84%
90d:
+5.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.73
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.17 to $18.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+10.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.17 -
$18.93
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.77)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.17 -
$18.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.66
Resistance Level
$19.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.78
Wall Street Target
$19.77
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.1%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.84
(0%)
2-Year Target
$17.78
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$17.73
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$17.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 5.3%)
$43.05
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 5.3%)
$20.87
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 5.3%)
$17.74
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.94
Bull Case
$38.06
(+113%)
Analyst growth 94.6%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$34.60
(+93%)
Market implied 94.6%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$12.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.11
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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