TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.75
-0.19 (-1.06%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.84%
30d:
+3.26%
90d:
-5.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$17.05 â $17.76
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
FAIR
vs 9.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.52
+10.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.15 / $18.40
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: TSLX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.66
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $17.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.05 to $17.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $17.15, while resistance sits at $18.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $17.15, while resistance sits at $18.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$17.05 -
$17.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.05 -
$17.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$17.15
Resistance Level
$18.40
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.52)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.43
Wall Street Target
$19.52
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.1%
Profit Margin
19.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$17.26
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$17.01
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$17.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$47.03
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 8.0%)
$22.34
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 8.0%)
$18.99
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$39.47
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$35.88
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$12.20
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$18.44
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TSLX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Sixth Street Specialty Lending reported Q4 earnings with a revenue decline and increased competition in direct lending as challenges. Management emphasized idiosyncratic credit events and unrealized losses.
Key Retail Themes:
Impact of idiosyncratic credit events and unrealized losses
Competition in direct lending and tightening market conditions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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