TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$16.49
0.24 (1.48%)
▲
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
-5.01%
90d:
-9.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TSLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TSLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.82
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $16.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.77 to $17.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.80 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.80 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.77 -
$17.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.77 -
$17.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.10
Resistance Level
$18.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.09
Wall Street Target
$19.80
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.7%
Profit Margin
25.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.03
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$15.58
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$15.14
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$16.50
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.8%)
$46.76
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.8%)
$19.51
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$16.58
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.15
Bull Case
$28.21
(+71%)
Analyst growth 57.8%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$25.65
(+56%)
Market implied 57.8%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$11.05
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$17.97
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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