TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$18.09
0.07 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
-0.33%
30d:
-1.95%
90d:
+4.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TSLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TSLX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.73
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $18.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.93 to $18.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.93 -
$18.62
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.77)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.93 -
$18.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.74
Resistance Level
$18.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$19.77
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.1%
Profit Margin
21.8%
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.09
(0%)
2-Year Target
$18.09
(0%)
3-Year Target
$18.09
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$18.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$43.55
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 5.3%)
$21.11
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$17.94
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$39.42
(+118%)
Analyst growth 98.8%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$35.83
(+98%)
Market implied 98.8%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$12.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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