TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$18.79
0.02 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
+13.33%
90d:
+8.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TSLX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.73
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $18.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.17 to $18.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.17 -
$18.75
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -14.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.17 -
$18.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.44
Resistance Level
$19.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.26
Wall Street Target
$19.77
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.1%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.01
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.26
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$19.51
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.83
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.3%)
$42.84
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 5.3%)
$21.90
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 5.3%)
$18.62
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case
$39.61
(+111%)
Analyst growth 92.6%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$36.01
(+92%)
Market implied 92.6%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$12.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Alan Waxman
BUY
45000 shares
2026-03-10
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-09
Alan Waxman
BUY
200000 shares
2026-03-06
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