TSLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.
$16.99
0.16 (0.95%)
▲
5d:
-1.11%
30d:
-7.41%
90d:
+2.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TSLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.68
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSLX is currently trading at $16.99, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.20 to $18.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSLX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TSLX scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.77 (+16.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.20 -
$18.18
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.20 -
$18.18
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.65
Resistance Level
$17.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.29
Wall Street Target
$19.77
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.1%
Profit Margin
21.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.67
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.35
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$16.04
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$17.10
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.2%)
$42.33
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 5.2%)
$19.79
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 5.2%)
$16.82
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.93
Bull Case
$36.42
(+114%)
Analyst growth 96.7%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$33.11
(+95%)
Market implied 96.7%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$11.44
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$18.11
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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