HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$37.90
0.08 (0.21%)
▲
5d:
-0.99%
30d:
+4.21%
90d:
-2.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HASI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HASI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.71
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $37.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.53 to $39.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 220.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $36.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HASI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.27 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $36.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HASI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.27 (+30.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.53 -
$39.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.0% below Wall St target ($49.27)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.53 -
$39.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.78
Resistance Level
$42.11
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.39
Wall Street Target
$49.27
(+30.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
220.8%
Profit Margin
63.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$37.22
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$36.89
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$37.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.9%)
$98.94
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 10.9%)
$51.73
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$43.97
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.04
Bull Case
$45.67
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$37.82
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$28.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$38.94
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Eckel
SELL
134398 shares
2026-02-17
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
