HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$36.32
-0.22 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
-0.27%
30d:
+0.44%
90d:
-5.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HASI trades at premium valuation expecting 8.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HASI trades at premium valuation expecting 8.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.65
Based on -11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $36.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.00 to $36.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.29 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.29 (+35.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.00 -
$36.81
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
47th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HASI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 47th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.7% below Wall St target ($49.29)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.7% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.00 -
$36.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.27
(6.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.51
Resistance Level
$37.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.47
Wall Street Target
$49.29
(+35.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
804.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
67.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 12.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.48
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$42.91
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$46.65
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -27.2%)
$31.93
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -27.2%)
$26.48
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: -27.2%)
$20.58
(-43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.28
Bull Case
$43.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$36.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$27.78
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
