HASI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HASI - HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
$36.27
0.24 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
-8.94%
90d:
-5.25%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HASI trades at premium valuation expecting 9.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: HASI trades at premium valuation expecting 9.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.42
Based on -11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HASI is currently trading at $36.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.28 to $39.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HASI scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.73 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HASI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HASI scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.73 (+37.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.28 -
$39.41
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HASI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($49.73)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.4% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 23% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.28 -
$39.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.37
Resistance Level
$37.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.44
Wall Street Target
$49.73
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
804.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Profit Margin
67.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 12.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.68
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$43.41
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$47.49
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -27.2%)
$32.80
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -27.2%)
$26.44
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: -27.2%)
$20.26
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.28
Bull Case
$43.80
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$36.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$27.75
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HASI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HASI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HASI price and gamma walls.
