Resideo Technologies (REZI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$18.17
0.02 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
-0.71%
30d:
-5.56%
90d:
-40.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REZI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REZI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.20
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $18.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.40 to $19.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.51, while resistance sits at $19.22.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.40 (+83.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.51, while resistance sits at $19.22.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.40 (+83.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.40 -
$19.59
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 83.8% below Wall St target ($33.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.40 -
$19.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.51
Resistance Level
$19.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.05
Wall Street Target
$33.40
(+83.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.93
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$15.78
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$14.71
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$18.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -4.4%)
$35.72
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -4.4%)
$15.85
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: -4.4%)
$13.48
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.56
Bull Case
$15.65
(-14%)
Analyst growth -21.6%, PE expands to 7.8
Base Case
$14.23
(-22%)
Market implied -21.6%, PE stable at 7.1
Bear Case
$12.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.48
(+23.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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