REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$30.55
-0.58 (-1.86%)
▼
5d:
-3.38%
30d:
+5.31%
90d:
-11.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REZI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REZI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.10
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $30.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.03 to $31.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+60.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.00 (+60.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.03 -
$31.58
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.4% below Wall St target ($49.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.03 -
$31.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.64
Resistance Level
$33.10
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.76
Wall Street Target
$49.00
(+60.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 11.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.72
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$26.99
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$25.37
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$30.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$86.01
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.1%)
$38.54
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 8.1%)
$32.76
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 11.7
Stabilization Target:
$36.62
(+19.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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