Resideo Technologies (REZI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$17.48
0.41 (2.40%)
â˛
5d:
+7.83%
30d:
-7.42%
90d:
-48.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REZI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REZI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.72
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $17.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.01 to $18.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.40 (+79.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.40 (+79.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$17.01 -
$18.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.6% below Wall St target ($31.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.01 -
$18.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.90
Resistance Level
$17.59
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.51
Wall Street Target
$31.40
(+79.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.03
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$14.70
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$13.48
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â11)
$17.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.8%)
$44.27
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 2.8%)
$18.96
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 2.8%)
$16.12
(-8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case
$16.21
(-7%)
Analyst growth -13.7%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$14.74
(-16%)
Market implied -13.7%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$11.61
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$22.60
(+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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