REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$34.30
-0.42 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
+10.22%
90d:
-17.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REZI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: REZI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.32
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $34.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.36 to $35.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.36 -
$35.61
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($49.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.36 -
$35.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.31
Resistance Level
$36.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$49.33
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
-6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.69
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$33.38
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$34.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.4%)
$75.73
(+121%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$41.32
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$35.12
(+2%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$35.18
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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