REZI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$20.27
0.24 (1.20%)
▲
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
-40.47%
90d:
-30.13%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: REZI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: REZI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.21
Based on -3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $20.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.23 to $36.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+71.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+71.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.23 -
$36.06
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 71.0% below Wall St target ($34.25)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 41% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.23 -
$36.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.84
Resistance Level
$26.08
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.75
Wall Street Target
$34.25
(+71.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.97
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$17.96
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$17.01
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$20.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -11.8%)
$30.07
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -11.8%)
$14.60
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: -11.8%)
$12.41
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$18.58
(-8%)
Analyst growth -21.6%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$16.89
(-17%)
Market implied -21.6%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$14.65
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$23.63
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 11:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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