REZI
Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
WHOLESALE-HARDWARE
Resideo Technologies (REZI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.14
+1.69 (+8.69%)
▲
5d:
+3.07%
30d:
+27.27%
90d:
+3.32%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.91 – $19.26
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.5x
CHEAP
vs 10.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.83
+53.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.01 / $20.78
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: REZI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.47
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $21.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.91 to $19.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.83 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.83 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.91 -
$19.26
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.91 -
$19.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$18.01
Resistance Level
$20.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($29.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.46
Wall Street Target
$29.83
(+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.56
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$17.70
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$16.89
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$19.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.8%)
$44.27
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 2.8%)
$21.10
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 2.8%)
$17.93
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$18.42
(-5%)
Analyst growth -16.5%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$16.75
(-14%)
Market implied -16.5%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$13.63
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$22.40
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (REZI)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
MSA Safety's Q3 earnings came in below consensus estimates, causing bearish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings miss
Earnings estimate revisions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is REZI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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