Resideo Technologies (REZI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
$19.11
0.28 (1.49%)
â˛
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
-25.67%
90d:
-38.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REZI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: REZI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.04
Based on -3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: REZI is currently trading at $19.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.08 to $25.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 928.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.50, while resistance sits at $20.40.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+79.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, REZI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.50, while resistance sits at $20.40.
Market Sentiment: REZI scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.25 (+79.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.08 -
$25.50
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.2% below Wall St target ($34.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.08 -
$25.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.50
Resistance Level
$20.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$34.25
(+79.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
928.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.89
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$16.74
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$15.67
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â11)
$19.21
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -11.8%)
$30.22
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -11.8%)
$13.93
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -11.8%)
$11.84
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$16.69
(-13%)
Analyst growth -19.4%, PE expands to 8.1
Base Case
$15.17
(-21%)
Market implied -19.4%, PE stable at 7.4
Bear Case
$12.80
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$23.43
(+22.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
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