SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$91.73
-2.81 (-2.97%)
▼
5d:
+6.77%
30d:
+9.01%
90d:
+34.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAH trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SAH trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.49
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $91.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.96 to $88.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $85.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SAH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $85.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.96 -
$88.66
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.1% above Wall St target ($85.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.3% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.96 -
$88.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.26
Resistance Level
$85.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.51
Wall Street Target
$85.00
(-10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 9.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$103.33
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$112.94
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$123.45
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$216.25
(+129%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$124.20
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$95.31
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$209.68
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case
$190.62
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$64.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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