Sonic Automotive (SAH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$75.90
-0.62 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
-4.43%
30d:
-6.32%
90d:
-9.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
Get Alerted When SAH Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.04
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $75.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.37 to $82.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.55 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.55 (+29.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$76.37 -
$82.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($98.55)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.37 -
$82.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.28
Resistance Level
$82.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.93
Wall Street Target
$98.55
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.90
(0%)
2-Year Target
$75.90
(0%)
3-Year Target
$75.90
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.4%)
$207.64
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 10.4%)
$102.19
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$86.86
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.31
Bull Case
$101.99
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$92.72
(+22%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$52.03
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Auto & Truck Dealerships Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto & Truck Dealerships by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CVNA
Carvana Co |
BUY
24 analysts |
$83 | 46 HOLD |
|
LAD
Lithia Motors Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$447 | 56 HOLD |
|
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc. Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$7 | 58 HOLD |
|
ACVA
ACV Auctions Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$10 | 40 HOLD |
|
CARG
CarGurus |
BUY
13 analysts |
$41 | 51 HOLD |
