SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$77.45
-0.33 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-4.18%
30d:
-21.85%
90d:
+2.04%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SAH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.26
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $77.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.03 to $100.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAH scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+23.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SAH scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.00 (+23.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.03 -
$100.81
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($99.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 22% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.03 -
$100.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.64
Resistance Level
$82.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.56
Wall Street Target
$99.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.03
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$83.83
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$85.67
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.1%)
$198.55
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$104.26
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 9.1%)
$88.62
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.28
Bull Case
$107.61
(+39%)
Analyst growth 21.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$97.82
(+26%)
Market implied 21.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$54.96
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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