SAH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAH - Sonic Automotive, Inc.
$91.58
-8.76 (-8.73%)
▼
5d:
-8.25%
30d:
+10.27%
90d:
+16.29%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SAH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SAH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.39
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAH is currently trading at $91.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.65 to $101.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.65 -
$101.74
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.9% growth with 1.0% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.65 -
$101.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.51
Resistance Level
$113.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.00
Wall Street Target
$89.91
(-1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.3%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.90
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$104.65
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$111.88
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.4%)
$207.12
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.4%)
$119.85
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$97.92
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.82
Bull Case
$220.75
(+141%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.1
Base Case
$200.68
(+119%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.6
Bear Case
$68.23
(-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SAH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11481 shares
2026-02-17
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
48540 shares
2026-02-13
Paul P Rusnak
BUY
11483 shares
2026-02-12
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