Frontdoor (FTDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$81.01
1.45 (1.82%)
â˛
5d:
-2.06%
30d:
-5.26%
90d:
+19.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.90
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $81.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.04 to $85.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.47, while resistance sits at $83.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.40 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.47, while resistance sits at $83.69.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.40 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$80.04 -
$85.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($97.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.04 -
$85.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.47
Resistance Level
$83.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$97.40
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.41
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$87.96
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$91.65
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$140.35
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$108.53
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 10.2%)
$92.25
(+14%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$119.94
(+48%)
Analyst growth 37.0%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$109.03
(+35%)
Market implied 37.0%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$54.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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