FTDR
Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS
Frontdoor (FTDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$96.64
+1.22 (+1.28%)
▲
5d:
-0.46%
30d:
+23.49%
90d:
+15.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (23%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$78.59 – $93.66
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.7x
STRETCHED
vs 14.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$104.60
+8.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$87.66 / $103.07
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FTDR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.16
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $96.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.59 to $93.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $87.66, while resistance sits at $103.07.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $87.66, while resistance sits at $103.07.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$78.59 -
$93.66
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$78.59 -
$93.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$87.66
Resistance Level
$103.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($104.60)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.70
Wall Street Target
$104.60
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 14.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.92
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$116.09
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$127.23
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.0%)
$129.25
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 8.0%)
$121.71
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 8.0%)
$92.42
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.91
Bull Case
$138.72
(+44%)
Analyst growth 32.2%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$126.11
(+31%)
Market implied 32.2%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$64.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FTDR)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Apr 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages indicate a bullish sentiment towards $FTDR with no recent Yahoo Finance news articles available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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