FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$75.99
3.36 (4.63%)
▲
5d:
+4.71%
30d:
-3.2%
90d:
+10.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTDR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.02
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $75.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.75 to $77.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $76.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$72.75 -
$77.17
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.75 -
$77.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.96
Resistance Level
$76.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.05
Wall Street Target
$75.75
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.95
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$82.03
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$85.23
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$143.13
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.0%)
$103.90
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$88.31
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$115.27
(+52%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$104.79
(+38%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$49.39
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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