FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$73.21
1.34 (1.86%)
▲
5d:
+4.9%
30d:
+19.06%
90d:
+24.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.75
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $73.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.21 to $68.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTDR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$61.21 -
$68.85
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.21 -
$68.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.55
Resistance Level
$66.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.57
Wall Street Target
$74.20
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.77
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$78.42
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$81.17
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$148.52
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$99.33
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$84.43
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$113.53
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.6%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$103.21
(+41%)
Market implied 43.6%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$48.87
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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