FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$74.43
-0.36 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
-5.09%
30d:
+10.23%
90d:
+28.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.30
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $74.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.66 to $77.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$68.66 -
$77.09
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.66 -
$77.09
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.55
Resistance Level
$66.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.74
Wall Street Target
$75.75
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
12.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.04
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$79.73
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$82.52
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$150.38
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 11.0%)
$101.76
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 11.0%)
$86.50
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.50
Bull Case
$119.53
(+61%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$108.66
(+46%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$51.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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