Frontdoor (FTDR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$77.24
1.79 (2.37%)
▲
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
-4.71%
90d:
-2.31%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FTDR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.63
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $77.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.26 to $82.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.25, while resistance sits at $81.08.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.40 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.25, while resistance sits at $81.08.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $97.40 (+26.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$75.26 -
$82.19
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.1% below Wall St target ($97.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 21% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.26 -
$82.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.25
Resistance Level
$81.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.87
Wall Street Target
$97.40
(+26.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 13.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.09
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$80.99
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$82.94
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$141.95
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$103.48
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$87.96
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$113.44
(+47%)
Analyst growth 36.7%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$103.13
(+34%)
Market implied 36.7%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$51.31
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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