FTDR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTDR - Frontdoor, Inc. Common Stock
$83.55
0.95 (1.16%)
â˛
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+16.86%
90d:
+36.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FTDR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 5.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.46
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTDR is currently trading at $83.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.21 to $84.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.8) compared to its historical average (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.99, while resistance sits at $89.67.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTDR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.99, while resistance sits at $89.67.
Market Sentiment: FTDR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$73.21 -
$84.83
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.21 -
$84.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.99
Resistance Level
$89.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.80
Wall Street Target
$98.00
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 13.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.72
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$91.06
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$95.61
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â14)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.8%)
$142.75
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$112.38
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$95.52
(+16%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.78
Bull Case
$124.65
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.3%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$113.32
(+37%)
Market implied 38.3%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$55.72
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTDR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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