SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$83.29
-0.08 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
+4.98%
90d:
+8.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.25
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $83.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.92 to $85.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $82.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.33 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $82.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCI scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.33 (+20.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$79.92 -
$85.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.5% below Wall St target ($100.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.92 -
$85.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.33
Resistance Level
$85.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.11
Wall Street Target
$100.33
(+20.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
18.1 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.87
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$84.46
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$85.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$121.93
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.1, Growth: 9.7%)
$110.05
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$93.54
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.84
Bull Case
$109.81
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.7%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$99.83
(+20%)
Market implied 19.7%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$56.69
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
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