SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$86.19
0.90 (1.06%)
▲
5d:
+4.69%
30d:
+12.3%
90d:
+6.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.46
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $86.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.99 to $82.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.82, while resistance sits at $90.99.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $76.82, while resistance sits at $90.99.
Market Sentiment: SCI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.99 -
$82.14
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.99 -
$82.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.82
Resistance Level
$90.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.93
Wall Street Target
$96.67
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$88.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$90.20
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$92.27
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.2%)
$126.17
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$115.19
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$97.92
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.79
Bull Case
$112.73
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.2%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$102.48
(+19%)
Market implied 20.2%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$58.00
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tony Coelho
SELL
7700 shares
2026-03-10
Tammy R Moore
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-13
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