SCI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCI - Service Corporation International
$83.69
2.53 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.54%
30d:
+7.5%
90d:
+1.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SCI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.13
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCI is currently trading at $83.69, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.62 to $80.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.33 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SCI scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.33 (+19.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$76.62 -
$80.74
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.62 -
$80.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.37
Resistance Level
$83.97
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.26
Wall Street Target
$100.33
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 17.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.61
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$85.54
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$86.48
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$119.21
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$109.58
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 9.4%)
$93.14
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$108.56
(+30%)
Analyst growth 21.6%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$98.69
(+18%)
Market implied 21.6%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$55.19
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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