STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$83.42
1.04 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+1.32%
30d:
+11.23%
90d:
+5.85%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.30
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.32
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $83.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.04 to $84.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $85.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $85.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+20.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$77.04 -
$84.09
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.04 -
$84.09
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.85
Resistance Level
$85.02
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.70
Wall Street Target
$98.33
(+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.09
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.32
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$73.65
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$81.98
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 17.2%)
$273.50
(+234%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$131.96
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 17.2%)
$112.17
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$125.16
(+50%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$113.78
(+36%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$54.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$91.22
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
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