STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$77.41
0.96 (1.26%)
▲
5d:
+4.57%
30d:
-1.78%
90d:
-7.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: STRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: STRA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.58
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.94
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $77.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.38 to $80.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 19.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.00 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $76.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.00 (+13.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$76.38 -
$80.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.38 -
$80.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.04
Resistance Level
$82.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.45
Wall Street Target
$87.00
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$68.71
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$65.13
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$76.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.6%)
$251.75
(+229%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 12.6%)
$109.19
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.6%)
$92.81
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$118.70
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.2%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$107.91
(+41%)
Market implied 43.2%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$51.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$89.84
(+17.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
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