Strategic Education (STRA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$81.59
2.04 (2.56%)
â˛
5d:
-0.97%
30d:
+4.28%
90d:
+7.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STRA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STRA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.51
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.59
10.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $81.59, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.01 to $82.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $83.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $83.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $96.67 (+18.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$78.01 -
$82.11
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($96.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.01 -
$82.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.80
Resistance Level
$83.63
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$96.67
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.14
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$76.77
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$74.46
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$81.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.2%)
$270.10
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$131.37
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 17.2%)
$111.66
(+37%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$123.39
(+51%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$112.18
(+38%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$54.09
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$89.54
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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