STRA
Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
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Strategic Education (STRA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$54.30
-0.29 (-0.53%)
▼
5d:
-26.94%
30d:
-33.69%
90d:
-33.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$65.02 – $85.03
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.3x
CHEAP
vs 10.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$63.00
+16.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$50.70 / $78.74
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: STRA is down 26.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.22
Based on -4.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $54.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.02 to $85.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.70, while resistance sits at $78.73.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.70, while resistance sits at $78.73.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.00 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.02 -
$85.03
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$65.02 -
$85.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$50.70
Resistance Level
$78.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.29
Wall Street Target
$63.00
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.18
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$50.15
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$48.19
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$54.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.3%)
$84.65
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -12.3%)
$39.58
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -12.3%)
$33.65
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 6.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.41
Bull Case
$65.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 6.8
Base Case
$54.30
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 6.5
Bear Case
$41.54
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$61.39
(+13.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.1%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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