STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$82.00
-3.08 (-3.62%)
▼
5d:
+8.41%
30d:
+3.55%
90d:
+4.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.69
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.19
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $82.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.92 to $83.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $72.91, while resistance sits at $89.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $72.91, while resistance sits at $89.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$75.92 -
$83.57
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($98.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$75.92 -
$83.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.91
Resistance Level
$89.73
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.71
Wall Street Target
$98.33
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.97
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.04
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$73.23
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$82.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$281.93
(+244%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$132.03
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 17.2%)
$112.22
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$131.97
(+61%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$119.97
(+46%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$57.85
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$92.07
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
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