Strategic Education (STRA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$81.66
0.63 (0.78%)
â˛
5d:
-0.29%
30d:
+2.05%
90d:
+2.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STRA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: STRA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.91
Based on 10.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.46
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $81.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.10 to $84.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STRA scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.33 (+20.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$81.10 -
$84.25
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($98.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.10 -
$84.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.89
Resistance Level
$86.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.67
Wall Street Target
$98.33
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.80
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$76.04
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$73.38
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$81.22
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 17.2%)
$274.31
(+236%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 17.2%)
$131.48
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 17.2%)
$111.76
(+37%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.99
Bull Case
$125.69
(+54%)
Analyst growth 41.0%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$114.26
(+40%)
Market implied 41.0%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$55.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$90.38
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Thawley
BUY
665 shares
2026-04-24
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
2982 shares
2026-03-18
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