TTE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTE - TotalEnergies SE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$85.83
-0.44 (-0.51%) â–ŧ
5d: -2.31%
30d: +9.71%
90d: -3.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: TTE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.09
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTE is currently trading at $85.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.21 to $85.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 106.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $78.21 - $85.99
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.21 - $85.99
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.48
Resistance Level $88.62
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.90
Wall Street Target $95.00 (+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 27.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 106.0%
Profit Margin 9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 9.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $83.51 (-3%)
2-Year Target $81.26 (-5%)
3-Year Target $79.06 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $86.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -9.4%) $145.11 (+69%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -9.4%) $63.85 (-26%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: -9.4%) $54.27 (-37%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.14
Bull Case $112.42 (+31%)
Analyst growth 18.5%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case $102.20 (+19%)
Market implied 18.5%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case $58.66 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 9.7
Stabilization Target: $93.53 (+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.0%
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Last updated: August 10, 2026 4:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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