VAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAC - MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
$97.44
1.73 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.22%
30d:
+30.56%
90d:
+38.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.05
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAC is currently trading at $97.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.78 to $94.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VAC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.78 -
$94.67
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($87.30)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.4% growth with None% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.78 -
$94.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.35
(7.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.59
Resistance Level
$92.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$87.30
(-8.8%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.1%
Profit Margin
-10.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 8.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.71
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$114.55
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$125.32
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.24
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$261.77
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$136.15
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$104.57
(+9%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael Flaskey
BUY
14862 shares
2026-03-10
John D Fitzgerald
BUY
52 shares
2026-01-07
John D Fitzgerald
BUY
13 shares
2026-01-07
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Advanced VAC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VAC price and gamma walls.
