PENN Entertainment (PENN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$15.46
0.57 (3.83%)
▲
5d:
+1.64%
30d:
-0.64%
90d:
-24.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.31
23.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $15.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.66 to $16.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 208.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.47, while resistance sits at $15.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PENN scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.47 (+57.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.47, while resistance sits at $15.97. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: PENN scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.47 (+57.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.66 -
$16.59
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 57.6% below Wall St target ($23.47)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.66 -
$16.59
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.47
Resistance Level
$15.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.43
Wall Street Target
$23.47
(+57.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.9%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.29
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$13.72
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$13.17
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$14.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 38.7%)
$69.02
(+364%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 38.7%)
$39.74
(+167%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 38.7%)
$33.78
(+127%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.80
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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