PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock
$18.65
0.20 (1.11%)
▲
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-8.02%
90d:
+11.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $18.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.00 to $20.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PENN scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.39 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PENN scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.39 (+32.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.00 -
$20.97
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($24.39)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.4% growth expectation is conservative given 209% recent growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.00 -
$20.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.21
Resistance Level
$20.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$24.39
(+32.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
208.9%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 12.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.62
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$20.88
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$22.21
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.1%)
$46.95
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 25.1%)
$36.10
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 25.1%)
$29.94
(+62%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PENN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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