PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$20.83
-0.47 (-2.21%) ▼
5d: -3.92%
30d: +28.82%
90d: +52.38%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PENN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.99
16.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $20.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.15 to $21.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: PENN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $17.15 - $21.20
Company Quality Score 68/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.44)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.15 - $21.20
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.18
Resistance Level $20.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.60
Wall Street Target $20.44 (-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 208.9%
Profit Margin -13.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 12.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $20.87 (+0%)
2-Year Target $20.91 (+0%)
3-Year Target $20.96 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $20.79 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 68.5%) $121.52 (+483%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 68.5%) $70.30 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 10.7, Growth: 68.5%) $59.76 (+187%)
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PENN Option Strategies

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