MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGM - MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL
$39.89
-0.84 (-2.06%)
▼
5d:
-3.01%
30d:
-9.3%
90d:
-15.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $41.22 · last confirmed Sep 10, 2026
Strength: 9.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MGM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MGM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.19
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGM is currently trading at $39.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.40 to $44.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.63 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.63 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.40 -
$44.42
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($50.63)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.40 -
$44.42
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.89
Resistance Level
$43.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.28
Wall Street Target
$50.63
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
519.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.17
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$42.48
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$43.84
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.4%)
$56.21
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 10.4%)
$53.74
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 10.4%)
$45.68
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.65
Bull Case
$56.17
(+41%)
Analyst growth 25.4%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case
$51.07
(+28%)
Market implied 25.4%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case
$27.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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Advanced MGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGM price and gamma walls.
