MGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGM - MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL
$46.88
0.30 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
-3.59%
30d:
+24.47%
90d:
+26.86%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.88
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGM is currently trading at $46.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.72 to $49.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.32, while resistance sits at $51.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.32, while resistance sits at $51.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.72 -
$49.04
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.61)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.0% growth with 4.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.72 -
$49.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.32
Resistance Level
$51.59
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.04
Wall Street Target
$46.61
(+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 16.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.83
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$53.32
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$57.05
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.7%)
$84.56
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 18.7%)
$77.81
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 18.7%)
$63.67
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 23.42 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.99
Bull Case
$56.23
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$46.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 23.4
Bear Case
$35.63
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
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