MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGM - MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL
$30.48
0.01 (0.03%)
▲
5d:
-6.45%
30d:
-26.45%
90d:
-34.98%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 22, 2026 at $38.51 · last confirmed Oct 1, 2026
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGM is currently trading at $30.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.27 to $42.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 519.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+61.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.33 (+61.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.27 -
$42.58
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 61.8% below Wall St target ($49.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.27 -
$42.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.92
Resistance Level
$39.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$49.33
(+61.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
519.4%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 17.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.20
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$27.97
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$26.80
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$30.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$53.79
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$40.69
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$34.58
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.62
Bull Case
$40.86
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$37.15
(+22%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$20.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$34.56
(+13.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MGM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGM price and gamma walls.
