MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL (MGM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$33.47
+0.41 (+1.24%)
▲
5d:
+1.98%
30d:
+13.84%
90d:
-24.05%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect MGM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$28.34 – $31.72
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.1x
STRETCHED
vs 17.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.42
+14.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$26.71 / $33.50
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MGM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $28.83 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.07
Based on -0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGM is currently trading at $33.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.34 to $31.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.42 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.49. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGM scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.42 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.34 -
$31.72
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.34 -
$31.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$26.71
Resistance Level
$33.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($38.42)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.4% growth expectation is conservative given 519% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.13
Wall Street Target
$38.42
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
519.4%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.4% premium
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 17.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.29
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$41.54
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$46.27
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: -5.9%)
$27.90
(+-17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -5.9%)
$22.96
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -5.9%)
$19.51
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$19.40
(-42%)
Analyst growth -46.7%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$17.63
(-47%)
Market implied -46.7%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$22.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MGM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish trader on StockTwits expresses optimism about MGM, despite recent market sell-offs and DraftKings' (DKNG) disappointing earnings. The trader believes MGM is a potential takeover target.
Key Retail Themes:
MGM takeover speculation
Bullish sentiment on MGM
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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