MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE (VAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VAC - MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
$103.59
2.50 (2.47%)
▲
5d:
+4.41%
30d:
-13.19%
90d:
+11.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Get Alerted When VAC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: VAC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.51
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAC is currently trading at $103.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.45 to $118.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $98.21, while resistance sits at $112.53.
Market Sentiment: VAC scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.09 (+11.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $98.21, while resistance sits at $112.53.
Market Sentiment: VAC scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.09 (+11.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$102.45 -
$118.71
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($115.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.45 -
$118.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.69
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.21
Resistance Level
$112.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.81
Wall Street Target
$115.09
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Profit Margin
-9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.15
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$112.91
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$117.87
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$264.67
(+156%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$141.86
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 11.0%)
$120.58
(+16%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Resorts & Casinos Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Resorts & Casinos by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MGM
MGM Resorts International |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$51 | 53 HOLD |
|
WYNN
Wynn Resorts Limited |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$132 | 44 HOLD |
|
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$59 | 49 HOLD |
|
PENN
Penn National Gaming Inc |
HOLD
20 analysts |
$24 | 69 BUY |
|
CZR
Caesars Entertainment Co… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$31 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced VAC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VAC price and gamma walls.
