VAC
MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE CORPORATION
REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)
MARRIOTT VACATIONS WORLDWIDE (VAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$117.51
+1.83 (+1.58%)
▲
5d:
+2.71%
30d:
+8.26%
90d:
-3.13%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect VAC Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$106.15 – $115.40
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.2x
STRETCHED
vs 9.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$121.91
+3.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
7th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$104.01 / $119.99
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.06
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VAC is currently trading at $117.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.15 to $115.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VAC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $119.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (7th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$106.15 -
$115.40
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
7th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$106.15 -
$115.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.50
(6.4%)
Support Level
$104.01
Resistance Level
$119.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding VAC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 7th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($121.91)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$121.91
(+3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Profit Margin
-7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.44
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$136.05
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$146.39
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$245.23
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.7%)
$150.97
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$121.01
(+3%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VAC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Wall Street anticipates earnings growth for $VAC in Q3 2026, with consensus estimates suggesting a 152.4% increase in EPS and a 27.5% rise in revenues. The stock could react significantly to the actual results.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings growth expectations
potential stock price reaction
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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