VVV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VVV - Valvoline Inc.
$33.89
0.07 (0.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.89%
30d:
-11.55%
90d:
+2.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VVV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.53
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VVV is currently trading at $33.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.60 to $39.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VVV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.83, while resistance sits at $35.90.
Market Sentiment: VVV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.20 (+27.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VVV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.83, while resistance sits at $35.90.
Market Sentiment: VVV scores 84/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.20 (+27.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.60 -
$39.74
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VVV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (84/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($43.20)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.60 -
$39.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.83
Resistance Level
$35.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.93
Wall Street Target
$43.20
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$33.34
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$33.10
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$33.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$58.68
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 13.6%)
$49.51
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 13.6%)
$42.08
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$75.02
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 45.7
Base Case
$68.20
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 41.6
Bear Case
$23.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$34.54
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 21, 2026 12:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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