VVV
Valvoline Inc.
MISCELLANEOUS PRODUCTS OF PETROLEUM & COAL
Valvoline (VVV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$34.83
-1.07 (-2.98%)
▼
5d:
-2.79%
30d:
+14.61%
90d:
+1.87%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
5d
Protect VVV Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
25/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$30.46 – $34.50
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.7x
FAIR
vs 16.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$42.31
+21.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.10 / $36.92
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VVV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.51
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VVV is currently trading at $34.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.46 to $34.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VVV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.09, while resistance sits at $36.92.
Market Sentiment: VVV scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.31 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VVV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.09, while resistance sits at $36.92.
Market Sentiment: VVV scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.31 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.46 -
$34.50
Company Quality Score
25/100
(STRONG SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$30.46 -
$34.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$32.10
Resistance Level
$36.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding VVV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($42.31)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.68
Wall Street Target
$42.31
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.7%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 16.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.35
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$35.88
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$36.42
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$34.82
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.7%)
$54.54
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$48.54
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$41.26
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$78.98
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$71.80
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$24.41
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VVV)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $VVV's plans for 1,000 new stores and increasing share buybacks, with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Company growth
Share buybacks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VVV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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