Why is AA Down Today?

AA
$44.39
▼ -5.49% ($-2.44)
Last updated: Sep 18, 2026 8:32 PM ET

About Alcoa Corporation

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is the world's largest bauxite miner and alumina refiner by production volume, and the eighth-largest aluminum producer. Profits are closely tied to pre...

Sector: PRIMARY PRODUCTION OF ALUMINUM
Market Cap: $8.76B
Forward P/E: 11.4
52-Week Range: $30.81 - $84.38
Employees: 230

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 AA showing strong bearish momentum
AA is down 5.5% today on 1.0x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 1.0x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

Market Comparison

AA is significantly underperforming the market (-5.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.12%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.63%
AA
This Stock
-5.49%
vs S&P 500: -5.37%
vs Nasdaq: -6.12%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, AA is expected to trade between:
$43.06 - $45.28

Key Level to Watch

$42.17 support
Watch for breakdown below $44.39

Quick Trade Ideas

Options strategies to consider for AA's -5% move

📊

No Options Available

AA doesn't have listed options or options data is currently unavailable.

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Disclaimer: These are educational examples only, not investment advice. Options involve significant risk including total loss of premium. Prices shown are estimates and may differ from actual market prices. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance.

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Last updated: Sep 18, 2026 8:32 PM (-22 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.32
Put/Call Ratio
73.9%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 30,535
Put Volume: 9,907
Total: 40,442
Unusual Activity: $55 CALL (10,527 vol) $50 CALL (10,217 vol) $45 PUT (1,671 vol)

Historical Context

AA has moved more than 3.0% down on 45 occasions in the past year.

42.2%
Continuation Rate
19/45 times continued down
+0.95%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 10, 2026 (-4.8%) → Next day: -0.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is AA stock down today?

AA is down 5.5% today on 1.0x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is AA stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, AA shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the AA stock price target?

AA is currently trading at $44.39. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $43.06 - $45.28. See long-term price prediction →

Will AA stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that AA's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $42.17 (support).

Is AA stock oversold or overbought?

AA's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 34.9. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for AA stock?

AA's 10-day momentum indicator is at -6.62. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is AA outperforming or underperforming the market?

AA (-5.49%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-5.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.12%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.63%.

What does MACD indicate for AA?

AA's MACD (-1.05) is currently below the signal line (-0.46), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 16.4) is weak.

Is AA in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, AA is in a mixed/transitional trend. The price and moving averages are not clearly aligned, suggesting a potential trend change or consolidation phase. 20-day SMA: $49.34, 50-day SMA: $48.3.

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