AMBEV (ABEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABEV - AMBEV S.A.
$3.30
-0.03 (-0.90%)
▼
5d:
+0.3%
30d:
+13.4%
90d:
+7.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When ABEV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABEV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABEV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.97
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABEV is currently trading at $3.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.94 to $3.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABEV scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.35. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABEV scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$2.94 -
$3.26
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($3.35)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.94 -
$3.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.14
Resistance Level
$3.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$3.35
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.39
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$3.49
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$3.59
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$5.19
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$4.04
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$3.43
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$4.05
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.5%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case
$3.68
(+11%)
Market implied 12.5%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$2.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ABEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
STZ
Constellation Brands Inc… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$151 | 36 SELL |
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
SELL
21 analysts |
$44 | 40 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$95 | 23 SELL |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$136 | 25 SELL |
|
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc |
SELL
13 analysts |
$194 | 47 HOLD |
