AMBEV (ABEV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.73
-0.07 (-2.50%)
▼
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
-16.0%
90d:
-2.5%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (88%)
Quality Score
61/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$2.76 – $3.26
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.4x
FAIR
vs 14.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$3.19
+16.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.62 / $2.82
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ABEV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.52
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABEV is currently trading at $2.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.76 to $3.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.62, while resistance sits at $2.82.
Market Sentiment: ABEV scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABEV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.62, while resistance sits at $2.82.
Market Sentiment: ABEV scores 91/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.76 -
$3.26
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.76 -
$3.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$2.62
Resistance Level
$2.82
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (91/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($3.19)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 91/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.36
Wall Street Target
$3.19
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
17.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.63
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$2.58
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$2.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.9%)
$4.56
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$3.06
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 3.9%)
$2.60
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$3.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$3.01
(+10%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$1.90
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 14.2
Stabilization Target:
$2.90
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ABEV)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Sep 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ABEV are bearish (sentiment score -0.03) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABEV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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