Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STZ - Constellation Brands, Inc.
$112.87
-0.12 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
-12.74%
90d:
-13.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 06, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When STZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$182.73
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$113.46
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STZ is currently trading at $112.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.39 to $130.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.35 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $163.35 (+44.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$115.39 -
$130.39
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($163.35)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.39 -
$130.39
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.54
Resistance Level
$120.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.13
Wall Street Target
$163.35
(+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.52
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$96.78
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$89.62
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$112.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$302.58
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$135.41
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$115.10
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.50
Bull Case
$146.34
(+30%)
Analyst growth 17.7%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$133.04
(+18%)
Market implied 17.7%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$76.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$142.17
(+26.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$45 | 69 BUY |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$97 | 33 SELL |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$135 | 37 SELL |
|
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$3 | 56 HOLD |
|
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc |
SELL
14 analysts |
$199 | 60 BUY |
Advanced STZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STZ price and gamma walls.
