Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STZ - Constellation Brands, Inc.
$122.45
-1.36 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-5.14%
30d:
-8.59%
90d:
-14.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $128.18 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When STZ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$184.32
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STZ is currently trading at $122.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.88 to $135.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $120.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.83 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $120.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.83 (+39.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$126.88 -
$135.83
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding STZ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($170.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.88 -
$135.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.25
Resistance Level
$132.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.90
Wall Street Target
$170.83
(+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.96
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$109.81
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$103.99
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$121.80
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.3%)
$299.17
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$146.91
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$124.87
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.70
Bull Case
$157.36
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.5%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$143.05
(+17%)
Market implied 15.5%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$84.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$143.41
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is STZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$45 | 41 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$97 | 39 SELL |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$135 | 42 HOLD |
|
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$3 | 40 SELL |
|
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc |
SELL
14 analysts |
$200 | 50 HOLD |
Advanced STZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STZ price and gamma walls.
