Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACEL - Accel Entertainment, Inc.
$10.94
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.63%
30d:
-6.5%
90d:
-12.48%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACEL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.93
31.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACEL is currently trading at $10.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.92 to $11.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACEL scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACEL scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+42.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.92 -
$11.64
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.3% below Wall St target ($15.57)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.92 -
$11.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.59
Resistance Level
$11.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.13
Wall Street Target
$15.57
(+42.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.28
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.67
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$9.09
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$10.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.7, Growth: 30.4%)
$47.18
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$24.26
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 30.4%)
$20.62
(+89%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$19.40
(+77%)
Analyst growth 61.2%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$17.63
(+61%)
Market implied 61.2%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$7.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.18
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 08, 2026 2:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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