Accel Entertainment (ACEL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACEL - Accel Entertainment, Inc.
$10.84
0.25 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
-6.87%
90d:
-12.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When ACEL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACEL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.93
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACEL is currently trading at $10.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.02 to $11.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACEL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+43.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACEL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.57 (+43.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$11.02 -
$11.77
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.6% below Wall St target ($15.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.02 -
$11.77
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.59
Resistance Level
$11.47
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.04
Wall Street Target
$15.57
(+43.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$9.50
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$8.89
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$10.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 30.4%)
$48.86
(+351%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 30.4%)
$24.04
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 30.4%)
$20.43
(+89%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$18.78
(+73%)
Analyst growth 61.2%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$17.07
(+58%)
Market implied 61.2%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$7.20
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.18
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ACEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gambling Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gambling by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DKNG
DraftKings Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$35 | 45 HOLD |
|
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$136 | 59 HOLD |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$131 | 59 HOLD |
|
GAMB
Gambling.com Group Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$5 | 57 HOLD |
|
RSI
Rush Street Interactive … |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$36 | 50 HOLD |
