ACEL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACEL - Accel Entertainment, Inc.
$12.06
-0.04 (-0.33%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
+0.75%
90d:
+3.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACEL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.32
26.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACEL is currently trading at $12.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.02 to $12.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.2) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 87.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.62, while resistance sits at $12.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.83 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACEL is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.62, while resistance sits at $12.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.83 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.35
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($15.83)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.02 -
$12.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.62
Resistance Level
$12.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.17
Wall Street Target
$15.83
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.61
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.18
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.77
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â13)
$12.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.4%)
$48.07
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 30.4%)
$26.74
(+122%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 30.4%)
$22.73
(+89%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$21.14
(+75%)
Analyst growth 58.8%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$19.22
(+59%)
Market implied 58.8%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$8.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.50
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACEL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Derek Harmer
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-13
Gordon Rubenstein
SELL
3766 shares
2026-03-12
Gordon Rubenstein
SELL
172943 shares
2026-03-12
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