Why is ADP Down Today?

ADP
$257.34
▼ -2.51% ($-6.45)
Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:37 PM ET (801 min ago)

About Automatic Data Processing

Automatic Data Processing is a global technology company providing cloud-based human capital management solutions, enabling clients to better implement payroll, talent, time, tax, and benefits administration. Additionally, ADP provides human resource outsourcing solutions that permit customers to of...

Sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
Market Cap: $118.13B
Forward P/E: 23.0
52-Week Range: $188.16 - $293.51
Employees: 67,000

Overall Confidence: 50%

50% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

MOMENTUM 50% Confidence
🎯 ADP showing strong bearish momentum
ADP is down 2.5% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.4x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION sector: -0.6%

ADP is outperforming its sector by -1.9%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

ADP is significantly underperforming the market (-3.2% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.74%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+1.02%
ADP
This Stock
-2.51%
vs S&P 500: -3.25%
vs Nasdaq: -3.53%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, ADP is expected to trade between:
$249.62 - $262.49

Key Level to Watch

$244.47 support
Watch for breakdown below $257.34

🔔 Get ADP Alerts

We'll notify you when ADP's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 02, 2026 8:37 PM (801 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.48
Put/Call Ratio
59.5%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 4,037
Put Volume: 1,919
Total: 5,956

Historical Context

ADP has moved more than 3.0% down on 10 occasions in the past year.

60.0%
Continuation Rate
6/10 times continued down
-0.08%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 08, 2026 (-3.5%) → Next day: -1.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is ADP stock down today?

ADP is down 2.5% today on 0.4x average volume. The move appears to be driven by general market sentiment and momentum traders.

Is ADP stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, ADP shows 50% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the ADP stock price target?

ADP is currently trading at $257.34. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $249.62 - $262.49. See long-term price prediction →

Will ADP stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that ADP's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $244.47 (support).

Is ADP stock oversold or overbought?

ADP's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 37.8. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for ADP stock?

ADP's 10-day momentum indicator is at -13.54. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is ADP outperforming or underperforming the market?

ADP (-2.51%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-3.2% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.74%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 1.02%.

What does MACD indicate for ADP?

ADP's MACD (-3.25) is currently below the signal line (-1.82), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 20.0) is weak.

Is ADP in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, ADP is in a bearish trend. The price ($257.34) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($267.48) and 50-day SMA ($271.35). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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