ADTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADTN - ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$17.56
-0.70 (-3.83%)
▼
5d:
-9.48%
30d:
-4.25%
90d:
+71.32%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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1 traders called ADTN this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADTN trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ADTN trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADTN is currently trading at $17.56, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.88 to $17.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.1) compared to its historical average (19.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.10, while resistance sits at $19.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADTN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.10, while resistance sits at $19.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADTN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+11.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.88 -
$17.63
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.6% growth with 15.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.88 -
$17.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.10
Resistance Level
$19.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.11
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 19.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.72
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$19.95
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$21.27
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.58
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$42.58
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$40.38
(+130%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 34.3%)
$34.32
(+95%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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